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UK Carbon Intensity Update – 10th October 2025

Understanding carbon intensity is key to making smarter and greener energy decisions. At Jaxi, we’re committed to helping you reduce your carbon footprint by keeping you informed about real-time electricity carbon intensity in the UK. Here’s how the carbon output has shaped up over the past 24 hours.

Moderate Carbon Intensity Hours
On the night of 9th October, carbon intensity remained within moderate levels. Between 23:00 and 23:30, the forecast was 138g CO₂/kWh, with actual emissions measured at 140g CO₂/kWh. As we moved into the early hours of 10th October, the intensity fluctuated slightly but stayed moderate, peaking at 147g CO₂/kWh by 02:30.

Transition to High Intensity
From 04:30, carbon intensity rose above moderate levels, signifying increased reliance on fossil fuel-based generation. Between 04:30 and 05:00, the forecast was 165g CO₂/kWh, with actual emissions reaching 182g CO₂/kWh, marking the start of a high-intensity period. These elevated levels continued into the morning and afternoon.

Peak High Intensity Hours
The day saw two major peaks in carbon intensity:

  • Morning Peak (06:00 – 08:30): Forecasted carbon levels hovered around 200g CO₂/kWh, corresponding with increased energy demand.
  • Evening Peak (17:00 – 19:30): This window saw the day’s highest intensity levels, with actual emissions reaching between 213g and 218g CO₂/kWh.

Late Evening Easing
Post 20:30, carbon intensity began to decline gradually but remained in the high range well into the late evening hours.

Why Carbon Intensity Matters
When electricity demand surges, the grid may rely on non-renewable sources like coal or gas, leading to higher carbon intensity. By monitoring these patterns, you can make informed decisions about when to use high-energy appliances, helping reduce strain on the grid and minimise emissions.

How You Can Help
By shifting energy use to lower intensity periods—typically late at night or during high renewable generation—you can play a part in reducing overall carbon emissions. Timing your usage of high-consumption appliances like washing machines, dryers, and electric vehicle chargers can have a real environmental impact.

At Jaxi, we’re making it easier to track and respond to carbon intensity in real time. Stay tuned for daily updates and actionable insights to help build a low-carbon energy future for the UK.

From To Forecast Actual Index
2025-10-09T23:00Z 2025-10-09T23:30Z 138 140 moderate
2025-10-09T23:30Z 2025-10-10T00:00Z 133 146 moderate
2025-10-10T00:00Z 2025-10-10T00:30Z 137 147 moderate
2025-10-10T00:30Z 2025-10-10T01:00Z 147 145 moderate
2025-10-10T01:00Z 2025-10-10T01:30Z 145 143 moderate
2025-10-10T01:30Z 2025-10-10T02:00Z 142 138 moderate
2025-10-10T02:00Z 2025-10-10T02:30Z 140 140 moderate
2025-10-10T02:30Z 2025-10-10T03:00Z 142 138 moderate
2025-10-10T03:00Z 2025-10-10T03:30Z 140 144 moderate
2025-10-10T03:30Z 2025-10-10T04:00Z 144 152 moderate
2025-10-10T04:00Z 2025-10-10T04:30Z 143 167 moderate
2025-10-10T04:30Z 2025-10-10T05:00Z 165 182 high
2025-10-10T05:00Z 2025-10-10T05:30Z 187 194 high
2025-10-10T05:30Z 2025-10-10T06:00Z 210 204 high
2025-10-10T06:00Z 2025-10-10T06:30Z 208 206 high
2025-10-10T06:30Z 2025-10-10T07:00Z 209 205 high
2025-10-10T07:00Z 2025-10-10T07:30Z 204 201 high
2025-10-10T07:30Z 2025-10-10T08:00Z 202 202 high
2025-10-10T08:00Z 2025-10-10T08:30Z 200 198 high
2025-10-10T08:30Z 2025-10-10T09:00Z 203 199 high
2025-10-10T09:00Z 2025-10-10T09:30Z 203 197 high
2025-10-10T09:30Z 2025-10-10T10:00Z 195 196 high
2025-10-10T10:00Z 2025-10-10T10:30Z 197 195 high
2025-10-10T10:30Z 2025-10-10T11:00Z 194 191 high
2025-10-10T11:00Z 2025-10-10T11:30Z 192 190 high
2025-10-10T11:30Z 2025-10-10T12:00Z 184 187 high
2025-10-10T12:00Z 2025-10-10T12:30Z 187 188 high
2025-10-10T12:30Z 2025-10-10T13:00Z 184 187 high
2025-10-10T13:00Z 2025-10-10T13:30Z 185 187 high
2025-10-10T13:30Z 2025-10-10T14:00Z 185 187 high
2025-10-10T14:00Z 2025-10-10T14:30Z 189 190 high
2025-10-10T14:30Z 2025-10-10T15:00Z 193 193 high
2025-10-10T15:00Z 2025-10-10T15:30Z 205 199 high
2025-10-10T15:30Z 2025-10-10T16:00Z 208 201 high
2025-10-10T16:00Z 2025-10-10T16:30Z 212 206 high
2025-10-10T16:30Z 2025-10-10T17:00Z 217 213 high
2025-10-10T17:00Z 2025-10-10T17:30Z 215 213 high
2025-10-10T17:30Z 2025-10-10T18:00Z 217 216 high
2025-10-10T18:00Z 2025-10-10T18:30Z 216 217 high
2025-10-10T18:30Z 2025-10-10T19:00Z 217 218 high
2025-10-10T19:00Z 2025-10-10T19:30Z 216 214 high
2025-10-10T19:30Z 2025-10-10T20:00Z 215 205 high
2025-10-10T20:00Z 2025-10-10T20:30Z 206 205 high
2025-10-10T20:30Z 2025-10-10T21:00Z 199 204 high
2025-10-10T21:00Z 2025-10-10T21:30Z 201 204 high
2025-10-10T21:30Z 2025-10-10T22:00Z 203 195 high
2025-10-10T22:00Z 2025-10-10T22:30Z 200 187 high
2025-10-10T22:30Z 2025-10-10T23:00Z 187 189 high